Abstracts – Browse Results
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Adi Maimun, N H (2016) Price and rent effects of energy efficiency in residential properties: evidence from the Belfast Metropolitan area, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Ulster University.
Akbar, M R (2012) Evaluating sustainability in high-rise developments, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Ulster University.
Alnaseem, N (2022) Private equity infrastructure investment in emerging economies, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Ulster University.
Birnie, J W (1993) A behavioural study using decision analysis of building cost prediction by chartered quantity surveyors, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Ulster University.
Bradley, P (2019) The development of a conceptual framework to help achieve low carbon commercial office buildings in London by 2050, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Ulster University.
Burballa Noria, A (2018) The governance of megaproject developments: lessons from the comparison of two contested infrastructure projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of Applied Social and Policy Studies, Ulster University.
Gunasekera, S (2013) The development of a framework for assessing the integration of construction supply chains, Unpublished PhD Thesis, School of the Built Environment , Ulster University.
Gunning, J G (2003) The enhancement of quality in construction project management, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Ulster University.
Ratcliffe, J S (2001) Built environment futures: A general examination of the role of future studies in built environment policy formulation, with a particular appraisal of the use of the foresight principal through scenario planning techniques in the framing, testing and imp, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , Ulster University.
- Type: Thesis
- Keywords: built environment; uncertainty; environmental scanning; government; policy; scenario planning; experiment
- ISBN/ISSN:
- URL: https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.394617
- Abstract:
The central contention of this thesis is that a more informed, structured and imaginative approach towards the study of the future is demanded of those professions concerned with the stewardship of the built environment and that this can most effectively be provided by the adoption and adaptation of the Foresight Principle through Scenario Planning and associated techniques. In addressing this major issue, the work: i. reviews the development of Futures Studies, the Foresight Principle and Scenario Planning as disciplines and processes relevant to future oriented decision-making; ii. explores the use of 'environmental scanning' as a means of comprehending the complex and interrelated driving forces of change at play in the built environment; iii. conducts a series of scenario planning exercises, projects and experiments in different areas of the built environment to appraise the efficacy of the approach in future proofing present policy; iv. investigates and tests the use of the 'strategic conversation' as an effective means of identifying pivotal uncertainty; and v. makes a set of proposals as to how the Foresight Principle through Scenario Planning could best be refined and promoted as an effective methodology for improving decision-making in built environment policy formulation and implementation. The fulfilment of those objectives also broadly reflects the way in which the thesis is argued and the work is organised. Whilst the concept, method and techniques are familiar in other fields of government and business, they have not been applied in such a concerted manner by the professions of the built environment. The studies and findings are thus considered to make a significant contribution to the intellectual 'mind-set' and operational 'toolkit' of those professions.